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Mark Scheifele vs Kyle Connor: Stats, xG & 2026-27 Projection

How do Mark Scheifele and Kyle Connor compare? Last season Scheifele put up 103 points to Connor's 92, with 5v5 expected-goals shares of 52.0% and 52.7%. See the full stat-by-stat breakdown below, or open the interactive Compare tool for in-depth stats, goal maps, and career trajectories.

Open in the interactive Compare tool → Mark Scheifele profile Kyle Connor profile
Mark Scheifele
Mark Scheifele
Winnipeg Jets · C · Age 33
vs
Kyle Connor
Kyle Connor
Winnipeg Jets · L · Age 29
82Games played82
36Goals39
67Assists53
103Points92
1.26Points per game1.12
21.5Ice time / game (min)21.5
2.855v5 points / 602.46
52.0%xGF% (5v5)52.7%
27.7Individual xG33.6
+8.3Finishing (G - xG)+5.4
872026-27 projected points86

How they compare

Scheifele was the more productive scorer in 2025-26, outpointing Connor by 11 (103 to 92). Scheifele posted a 36-67-103 line at 1.26 points per game, while Connor went 39-53-92 at 1.12. At 5-on-5 they diverge on impact: Connor tilted the ice with a 52.7% expected-goals share to 52.0% for Scheifele. Scheifele was the sharper finisher, scoring +8.3 goals relative to expected next to +5.4 for Connor. For 2026-27, HighDanger's model projects Scheifele at 87 points, ahead of Connor at 86. On balance, Scheifele grades as the stronger pick heading into 2026-27, though the table above and the interactive tool let you weigh the categories that matter most to you.

More comparisons

Stats from the 2025-26 NHL season plus HighDanger metrics and 2026-27 projections. The better value in each row is highlighted. Full interactive charts and trends are in the Compare tool.