John Carlson

John Carlson

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D · 6'3" · 225 lb · Shoots R
Age 36
Career
0.68
P / GP
789P in 1166 GP
Archetype
Bottom Pair
Role classification
Career stage
Glory Days
By age + experience
Cap hit (AAV)
$8.5M
Signed through 2028
Career points
789
Regular season

Shot quality · 2026-27

Individual xG
1.2
26 unblocked attempts
Goals − xG
+0.8
vs expected
5v5 ixG
0.7
17 unblocked attempts at 5v5
5v5 G − xG
+0.3
even-strength finishing

On-ice impact · 5v5 · 2025-26

On-ice xGF (5v5)
4.0
135 shots on ice
On-ice xGA (5v5)
3.4
for opponents
On-ice xGF% (5v5)
53.8
share of on-ice xG
On-ice GF − GA (5v5)
-2
2 GF · 4 GA

Statistical comparables

Closest active NHL defensemen by career P/GP. Click a card to open the side-by-side comparison.

Career journey

Rookie
2009–10 · age 20
Washington Capitals
0.27 P/GP
22 GP · 1G · 5A
Emerging
2010–11 → 2012 · age 21–22
Washington Capitals
0.42 P/GP
164 GP · 16G · 53A
Prime
2012–13 → 2020 · age 23–30
Washington Capitals
0.71 P/GP
571 GP · 88G · 315A
Veteran
2020–21 → 2025 · age 31–35
Washington Capitals
0.75 P/GP
331 GP · 51G · 196A
Glory Days
2025–26 → 2027 · age 36–37
Tampa Bay Lightning
0.82 P/GP
78 GP · 16G · 48A

John Carlson, a defenseman for the Tampa Bay Lightning, is entering his age-37 season. In 2025-26 he recorded 4 points (2 goals, 2 assists) in 7 games, a 0.57 points-per-game pace, 1 of them on the power play. At 5-on-5 his team controlled 53.8% of the expected goals with him on the ice. Measured against expected goals, his finishing came in at +0.8. HighDanger's model projects 57 points for 2026-27, in a 50 to 64 range. Full season logs, percentile ranks against the league, and comparable players are below.

Recent Season Stats

SeasonGPGAP+/-PIMPPTOI/GPP/GP
2023–2482104252-7402125:540.63
2024–257954651+17221423:340.65
2025–2655103646+1126922:520.84
2025–261641014-26524:110.88
2026–277224-32120:100.57
Career1166172617789+109398279—0.68

🚨 Goal map

Trajectory

Last 5 seasons
Career year-by-year · dotted = projected

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