Nick Paul

Nick Paul

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LW · 6'3" · 225 lb · Shoots L
Age 31
Career
0.40
P / GP
218P in 545 GP
Archetype
Depth Forward
Role classification
Career stage
Veteran
By age + experience
Cap hit (AAV)
$3.15M
Signed through 2029
Career points
218
Regular season

Shot quality · 2026-27

Individual xG
1.4
14 unblocked attempts
Goals − xG
-0.4
vs expected
5v5 ixG
1.3
13 unblocked attempts at 5v5
5v5 G − xG
-0.3
even-strength finishing

On-ice impact · 5v5 · 2025-26

On-ice xGF (5v5)
3.8
136 shots on ice
On-ice xGA (5v5)
5.2
for opponents
On-ice xGF% (5v5)
41.8
share of on-ice xG
On-ice GF − GA (5v5)
-4
5 GF · 9 GA

Career journey

Rookie
2015–16 · age 20
Ottawa Senators
0.21 P/GP
24 GP · 2G · 3A
Emerging
2016–17 → 2018 · age 21–22
Ottawa Senators
0.08 P/GP
12 GP · 1G · 0A
Prime
2018–19 → 2026 · age 23–30
Tampa Bay Lightning
0.42 P/GP
501 GP · 101G · 107A
Veteran
2026–27 · age 31
Toronto Maple Leafs
0.5 P/GP
8 GP · 1G · 3A

Nick Paul, a left wing for the Toronto Maple Leafs, is entering his age-31 season. In 2025-26 he recorded 4 points (1 goal, 3 assists) in 8 games, a 0.50 points-per-game pace. At 5-on-5 his team controlled 41.8% of the expected goals with him on the ice. Measured against expected goals, his finishing came in at -0.4. HighDanger's model projects 31 points for 2026-27, in a 23 to 39 range. Full season logs, percentile ranks against the league, and comparable players are below.

Recent Season Stats

SeasonGPGAP+/-PIMPPTOI/GPP/GP
2022–2380171532+1133416:100.40
2023–2482242246-16271417:160.56
2024–2576221941+1330516:270.54
2025–26517815-1532313:410.29
2026–278134-34015:550.50
Career545105113218-3821831—0.40

🚨 Goal map

Trajectory

Last 5 seasons
Career year-by-year · dotted = projected

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