Dylan Larkin

Dylan Larkin

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C · 6'1" · 198 lb · Shoots L
Age 30
Career
0.79
P / GP
646P in 813 GP
Archetype
Depth Forward
Role classification
Career stage
Prime
By age + experience
Cap hit (AAV)
$8.7M
Signed through 2031
Career points
646
Regular season

Shot quality · 2026-27

Individual xG
1.5
18 unblocked attempts
Goals − xG
-0.5
vs expected
5v5 ixG
0.7
12 unblocked attempts at 5v5
5v5 G − xG
+0.3
even-strength finishing

On-ice impact · 5v5 · 2025-26

On-ice xGF (5v5)
3.2
99 shots on ice
On-ice xGA (5v5)
2.8
for opponents
On-ice xGF% (5v5)
52.7
share of on-ice xG
On-ice GF − GA (5v5)
+0
3 GF · 3 GA

Statistical comparables

Closest active NHL forwards by career P/GP. Click a card to open the side-by-side comparison.

Career journey

Rookie
2015–16 · age 19
Detroit Red Wings
0.56 P/GP
80 GP · 23G · 22A
Emerging
2016–17 → 2019 · age 20–22
Detroit Red Wings
0.71 P/GP
238 GP · 65G · 103A
Prime
2019–20 → 2027 · age 23–30
Detroit Red Wings
0.87 P/GP
495 GP · 189G · 244A

Dylan Larkin, a center for the Detroit Red Wings, is entering his age-30 season. In 2025-26 he recorded 3 points (1 goal, 2 assists) in 5 games, a 0.60 points-per-game pace, 1 of them on the power play. At 5-on-5 his team controlled 52.7% of the expected goals with him on the ice. Measured against expected goals, his finishing came in at -0.5. HighDanger's model projects 74 points for 2026-27, in a 69 to 79 range. Full season logs, percentile ranks against the league, and comparable players are below.

Recent Season Stats

SeasonGPGAP+/-PIMPPTOI/GPP/GP
2022–2380324779-7453119:330.99
2023–2468333669+5392620:101.01
2024–2582304070-16402720:040.85
2025–2674343367+3482420:110.91
2026–27512304121:150.60
Career813277369646-100503177—0.79

🚨 Goal map

Trajectory

Last 5 seasons
Career year-by-year · dotted = projected

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