Erik Cernak

Erik Cernak

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D · 6'4" · 232 lb · Shoots R
Age 29
Career
0.24
P / GP
121P in 509 GP
Archetype
Bottom Pair
Role classification
Career stage
Prime
By age + experience
Cap hit (AAV)
$5.2M
Signed through 2031
Career points
121
Regular season

Shot quality · 2026-27

Individual xG
0.7
14 unblocked attempts
Goals − xG
-0.7
vs expected
5v5 ixG
0.7
14 unblocked attempts at 5v5
5v5 G − xG
-0.7
even-strength finishing

On-ice impact · 5v5 · 2025-26

On-ice xGF (5v5)
5.6
127 shots on ice
On-ice xGA (5v5)
2.8
for opponents
On-ice xGF% (5v5)
67.1
share of on-ice xG
On-ice GF − GA (5v5)
+4
6 GF · 2 GA

Career journey

Rookie
2018–19 · age 21
Tampa Bay Lightning
0.28 P/GP
58 GP · 5G · 11A
Emerging
2019–20 · age 22
Tampa Bay Lightning
0.18 P/GP
67 GP · 5G · 7A
Prime
2020–21 → 2027 · age 23–29
Tampa Bay Lightning
0.24 P/GP
384 GP · 16G · 77A

Erik Cernak, a defenseman for the Tampa Bay Lightning, is entering his age-29 season. In 2025-26 he recorded 1 point (0 goals, 1 assist) in 7 games, a 0.14 points-per-game pace. At 5-on-5 his team controlled 67.1% of the expected goals with him on the ice. Measured against expected goals, his finishing came in at -0.7. HighDanger's model projects 17 points for 2026-27, in a 12 to 22 range. Full season logs, percentile ranks against the league, and comparable players are below.

Recent Season Stats

SeasonGPGAP+/-PIMPPTOI/GPP/GP
2022–237021416+853019:140.23
2023–246921113+563019:110.19
2024–257631821+2950018:160.28
2025–26613811+374017:370.18
2026–277011+62018:280.14
Career5092695121+1024431—0.24

🚨 Goal map

Trajectory

Last 5 seasons
Career year-by-year · dotted = projected

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