HighDanger
Toronto Maple Leafs

Gavin McKenna

Left Wing · Toronto Maple Leafs · Rookie
Drafted 1st overall (Round 1), 2026 · $950k entry-level deal through 2029

Gavin McKenna has not played an NHL game yet, so there are no NHL stats to show. What follows is the HighDanger projection for the incoming rookie, drawn from a comparables model on every drafted skater since 2005.

HighDanger projection
93%
NHL probability
77%
Star probability
0.58
Rookie P/GP
0.83
Prime P/GP
#1
Draft board rank
Rookie is the projected first NHL season; Prime is the projected best season of a player's prime, roughly ages 24 to 28. These are preseason estimates, recalculated once McKenna has played 10 NHL games.
Upside comp
Nikita Kucherov
At his ceiling, McKenna's vision and shot from the wing point to a Kucherov-style Art Ross threat.
2025-26, last season before the NHL
LeagueClub GPGAPP/GP
NCAAPenn State 351536 511.46
Closest comparables
The model's nearest historical matches at the same age and production, by league-adjusted scoring: Auston Matthews, Patrick Kane, Phil Kessel, Jordan Schroeder.

Projection is a comparables (nearest-neighbor) model over drafted skaters 2005-2019, not a guarantee. Full career stats will appear here once McKenna plays NHL games.