David Pastrnak vs Kyle Connor: Stats, xG & 2026-27 Projection
How do David Pastrnak and Kyle Connor compare? Last season Pastrnak put up 100 points to Connor's 92, with 5v5 expected-goals shares of 48.3% and 52.7%. See the full stat-by-stat breakdown below, or open the interactive Compare tool for in-depth stats, goal maps, and career trajectories.
| 77 | Games played | 82 |
| 29 | Goals | 39 |
| 71 | Assists | 53 |
| 100 | Points | 92 |
| 1.30 | Points per game | 1.12 |
| 20.7 | Ice time / game (min) | 21.5 |
| 2.72 | 5v5 points / 60 | 2.46 |
| 48.3% | xGF% (5v5) | 52.7% |
| 29.3 | Individual xG | 33.6 |
| -0.3 | Finishing (G - xG) | +5.4 |
| 104 | 2026-27 projected points | 86 |
How they compare
Pastrnak was the more productive scorer in 2025-26, outpointing Connor by 8 (100 to 92). Pastrnak posted a 29-71-100 line at 1.30 points per game, while Connor went 39-53-92 at 1.12. At 5-on-5 they diverge on impact: Connor tilted the ice with a 52.7% expected-goals share to 48.3% for Pastrnak. Connor was the sharper finisher, scoring +5.4 goals relative to expected next to -0.3 for Pastrnak. For 2026-27, HighDanger's model projects Pastrnak at 104 points, ahead of Connor at 86. On balance, Pastrnak grades as the stronger pick heading into 2026-27, though the table above and the interactive tool let you weigh the categories that matter most to you.
Stats from the 2025-26 NHL season plus HighDanger metrics and 2026-27 projections. The better value in each row is highlighted. Full interactive charts and trends are in the Compare tool.