Matthew Tkachuk

Matthew Tkachuk

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LW · 6'2" · 202 lb · Shoots L
Age 28
Career
1.00
P / GP
681P in 681 GP
Archetype
Depth Forward
Role classification
Career stage
Prime
By age + experience
Cap hit (AAV)
$9.5M
Signed through 2030
Career points
681
Regular season

Shot quality · 2026-27

Individual xG
2.1
26 unblocked attempts
Goals − xG
+0.8
vs expected
5v5 ixG
1.2
18 unblocked attempts at 5v5
5v5 G − xG
+1.8
even-strength finishing

On-ice impact · 5v5 · 2025-26

On-ice xGF (5v5)
4.6
139 shots on ice
On-ice xGA (5v5)
3.6
for opponents
On-ice xGF% (5v5)
56.1
share of on-ice xG
On-ice GF − GA (5v5)
+2
6 GF · 4 GA

Statistical comparables

Closest active NHL forwards by career P/GP. Click a card to open the side-by-side comparison.

Career journey

Rookie
2016–17 · age 19
Calgary Flames
0.63 P/GP
76 GP · 13G · 35A
Emerging
2017–18 → 2020 · age 20–22
Calgary Flames
0.86 P/GP
217 GP · 81G · 106A
Prime
2020–21 → 2027 · age 23–29
Florida Panthers
1.15 P/GP
388 GP · 162G · 284A

Matthew Tkachuk, a left wing for the Florida Panthers, is entering his age-29 season. In 2025-26 he recorded 11 points (3 goals, 8 assists) in 8 games, a 1.38 points-per-game pace, 5 of them on the power play. At 5-on-5 his team controlled 51.4% of the expected goals with him on the ice. Measured against expected goals, his finishing came in at +1.1. HighDanger's model projects 93 points for 2026-27, in a 88 to 98 range. Full season logs, percentile ranks against the league, and comparable players are below.

Recent Season Stats

SeasonGPGAP+/-PIMPPTOI/GPP/GP
2022–23794069109+291233620:261.38
2023–2480266288+19883218:381.10
2024–2552223557-3542318:141.10
2025–2631132134-6481318:181.10
2026–2783811+14520:221.38
Career681256425681+125742226—1.00

🚨 Goal map

Trajectory

Last 5 seasons
Career year-by-year · dotted = projected

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