Connor McDavid vs Leon Draisaitl: Stats, xG & 2026-27 Projection
How do Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl compare? Last season McDavid put up 138 points to Draisaitl's 97, with 5v5 expected-goals shares of 56.5% and 54.7%. See the full stat-by-stat breakdown below, or open the interactive Compare tool for in-depth stats, goal maps, and career trajectories.
| 82 | Games played | 65 |
| 48 | Goals | 35 |
| 90 | Assists | 62 |
| 138 | Points | 97 |
| 1.68 | Points per game | 1.49 |
| 23.0 | Ice time / game (min) | 21.6 |
| 2.46 | 5v5 points / 60 | 2.48 |
| 56.5% | xGF% (5v5) | 54.7% |
| 46.6 | Individual xG | 28.1 |
| +1.4 | Finishing (G - xG) | +6.9 |
| 133 | 2026-27 projected points | 115 |
How they compare
McDavid was the more productive scorer in 2025-26, outpointing Draisaitl by 41 (138 to 97). McDavid posted a 48-90-138 line at 1.68 points per game, while Draisaitl went 35-62-97 at 1.49. At 5-on-5 they diverge on impact: McDavid tilted the ice with a 56.5% expected-goals share to 54.7% for Draisaitl. Draisaitl was the sharper finisher, scoring +6.9 goals relative to expected next to +1.4 for McDavid. For 2026-27, HighDanger's model projects McDavid at 133 points, ahead of Draisaitl at 115. On balance, McDavid grades as the stronger pick heading into 2026-27, though the table above and the interactive tool let you weigh the categories that matter most to you.
Stats from the 2025-26 NHL season plus HighDanger metrics and 2026-27 projections. The better value in each row is highlighted. Full interactive charts and trends are in the Compare tool.