Biggest New Face 2026

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July 11, 2026

Atlantic: Every Team's Biggest New Face

The marquee offseason arrival for all eight Atlantic teams, from JJ Peterka in Boston to Brady Tkachuk in Florida, run through HighDanger xG, finishing, and 2026-27 projections.

July 12, 2026

Metro: Every Team's Biggest New Face

The marquee offseason arrival for all eight Metropolitan teams, from Pavel Dorofeyev's eleven-million-dollar deal in New York to the depth bets nobody noticed, by the numbers.

July 17, 2026

Central: Every Team's Biggest New Face

The marquee offseason arrival for all eight Central teams, run through HighDanger xG, finishing, and 2026-27 projections.

July 14, 2026

Pacific: Every Team's Biggest New Face

The marquee offseason arrival for all eight Pacific teams, from Darnell Nurse in San Jose to Simon Nemec in Calgary, run through HighDanger xG, finishing, and 2026-27 projections.

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News / June 22, 2026
HighDanger News

Tkachuk Brothers Unite in South Florida to Chase a Dynasty

Bill Zito and the Florida Panthers started Sunday morning off with a bang. The Panthers moved their young forward Mackie Samoskevich to the Seattle Kraken for 25th overall in the 2026 draft and a conditional 2nd-round pick in 2027. He was a restricted free agent this year and could have potentially been an offer-sheet candidate. If Mackie's contract was in the range of $4.68 million, the compensation for the offer sheet would have been a 1st and 3rd. Mackie Samoskevich finished last year with 12 goals, 20 assists and 32 points. Mackie struggled to find the back of the net this year but did create good scoring chances. He finished with a 53.4 xGF%, meaning he does have the ability to drive play. Mackie was going to be tricky to fit into the Florida Panthers' top 9 with the likes of Sandis Vilmanis and Jack Devine both showing great promise with the Panthers and Checkers this year.

Most in the hockey world expected that Florida was trying to stockpile picks to go after a much-needed part of their team: a goaltender. One specifically in Winnipeg, Connor Hellebuyck. Florida has zero goaltenders signed on their active roster. Many reporters linked Hellebuyck to Florida, citing the USA Olympic gold-medal team as a connection to Matthew Tkachuk. There was a stronger connection to Matthew that seemed to catch the hockey world sleeping. Bill Zito sent the 9th overall, 25th overall in 2026, a 2029 first-round pick (top-10 protected) and a 2030 2nd-round pick to the Ottawa Senators for Brady Tkachuk. Zito flipped the 25th pick from the Samoskevich trade into the final piece to bring the Tkachuk brothers together. The Florida Panthers have pushed the chips all in again. The Ottawa Senators now have the draft capital to offer sheet a strong RFA class, but also the tools to add NHL players to their roster, as they should still be pushing for the playoffs with a strong young core. So what does this mean for Ottawa and Florida?

For Florida

For Florida, they add an elite winger into an already deep forward group. Mackie would have struggled for ice time here, but Brady Tkachuk will not have that problem. There is speculation that you will see a B. Tkachuk - Bennett - M. Tkachuk line, but I think Brady might be better poised to play with Barkov and Reinhart. This would leave the Verhaeghe - Bennett - M. Tkachuk line together, a trio with chemistry that has already won 2 Stanley Cups. Barkov and Reinhart have proven they can play with any winger on the left side, as we saw Evan Rodrigues and Carter Verhaeghe have great success during those two Cup runs. This also keeps more speed on the second line, and today's game needs to be played at pace.

Florida's outlook in goal is now a bigger question. Brady comes over with an $8.2 million cap hit. Before the trade, Florida only had $15.28 million in cap space. This leaves Florida with $7.07 million to find two goaltenders and possibly more depth pieces on the 4th line.

One internal name worth watching is Cooper Black. The 6-foot-8 undrafted goaltender out of Dartmouth has quietly put together a strong two-year run with the Checkers, posting a 2.34 GAA and a .907 save percentage across 62 games (37 W, 19 L, 6 OTL). At a cap hit under $1 million on a two-way deal, Black gives Florida a cheap option if they want to bet on size and internal development instead of chasing a pricey free agent. He is far from a proven NHL answer, but for a team with around $7 million to find two goalies in a thin market, a 6-foot-8 wall on entry-level money is exactly the kind of swing a cap-strapped contender can afford to take.

Here is where things get a little more interesting for Florida. Sandis Vilmanis just finished with a great showing at the IIHF Worlds for Latvia: 8 GP, 4G-7A-11P. Sandis split his time between the Panthers and Checkers. NHL stats: 19 GP, 3G-2A-5P. AHL stats: 48 GP, 17G-21A-38P. These performances allowed Florida to move on from Mackie and find a good replacement on the 4th line. Jack Devine is also in the mix for the RW spot, as he finished a strong season with the Checkers at 63 GP, 18G-25A-43P. Both players carry a smaller cap hit, under $1 million per year. This could be the future of the 4th line, allowing Florida to keep Evan Rodrigues to centre their young future. Florida also has Jesper Boqvist, Jonah Gadjovich and Cole Reinhardt to fill holes if needed.

If this is the case, Florida has around $5 million to find 2 goalies in a market that is not very strong. Their own goalie, Sergei Bobrovsky, is the top talent available, but they might not have the cap room to get that done without trading established vets like Rodrigues or Boqvist. I say "might" because I counted Zito out when it came to signing Bennett, Ekblad and Marchand, but Zito and the front office found a way.

For Ottawa

For Ottawa, it is a bit of a different story. They are losing their captain and elite power forward off the top line. Brady took heat during a lackluster playoff run that saw the Senators get swept by the champion Carolina Hurricanes. Brady went 0G-0A in those 4 games and failed to establish his game down low. Ottawa is still trending up. They have good talent up front such as Tim Stützle (80 GP, 34G-49A-83P), Dylan Cozens (82 GP, 28G-31A-59P) and Drake Batherson (79 GP, 33G-38A-71P). Their backend is very strong with Jake Sanderson (67 GP, 14G-40A-54P) and Thomas Chabot (57 GP, 7G-24A-31P) leading the charge. They also have Carter Yakemchuk and Jordan Spence as young pieces coming up. Spence, a restricted free agent, had some rumors going around that he was getting shopped, but I would love to see the Senators hold on and see how he develops. Spence finished with 73 GP, 7G-24A-31P this year and seemed to find a place on the blueline with the Sens.

Ottawa also received 3 first-round picks and a 2nd-round pick. They will have 3 first-round picks in this year's draft. They cannot move the 32nd overall, but that doesn't mean 9th and 25th are not in play. I was expecting Ottawa to get an NHL-ready player back in the Brady Tkachuk trade, but having 3 first-round picks this year might be enough to sign-and-trade an RFA. Teams such as Dallas and Vegas have very little room to offer their star restricted free agents, Jason Robertson and Pavel Dorofeyev. If those teams do not move off their star RFA, they might be willing to offload other stars on the roster. The return without an NHL player has raised questions, but it does give Ottawa a lot of options. They also get a return for a player who might have been unwilling to sign an extension 2 years down the line and would walk out the door for nothing.

The Big Picture

Florida immediately gets better and stronger. They are looking to bounce back as a contender and have all the stars to do it. The Atlantic is getting stronger each year: Buffalo, Montreal, Tampa Bay, and now Toronto with 1st overall and Darren Raddysh. If Florida can make it back to the Stanley Cup Final and win, that would be 3 Cups in 4 years and 4 appearances in 5 years. At what point does that become a dynasty? It is a fair question to ask, even if it is a big IF built on a mortgaged future.

Ottawa is making the opposite bet. They turned their captain into a stockpile of first-round picks and the flexibility to build around the Sanderson and Stützle window. One team is pushing all its chips to the centre of the table; the other is loading up for what comes next. There is still more movement coming with the draft 4 days away. It is a great time to be a hockey fan!

Brady Tkachuk by the Numbers

Season GP G-A-P P/GP xGF% (5v5) ixG G − ixG Sh%
2025-26 60 22-37-59 0.98 62.6% 29.0 -7.0 7.2%

Age 26 · $8.21M cap hit through 2028 (NMC) · HighDanger PAV 11.01 · 2026-27 HighDanger projection: 37G-43A-80P

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July 16, 2026

Four Games in October Worth Circling on the 2026-27 NHL Schedule

The NHL's 2026-27 schedule is out. Opening night has some of the best of it, but the four games that follow are the ones worth circling. Roughly one a week through October, where the drama of June and July finally shows up on the ice.

June 9, 2026

Conn Smythe Race: Marner Has a Real Lead

The Cup Final is 2-1 and the Conn Smythe race already has a clear leader. Marner is 28 points in 19 games with the toughest matchup minutes on Vegas. The chasers (Hall, Howden, Stankoven, Eichel) each have a card to play, but only one statistical case is leading.

May 30, 2026

Canes to the Cup Final, Vegas Awaits

Carolina dominates Montreal 6-1 in Game 5 and dominates the Eastern Conference Final 4-1. Vegas waits in the Stanley Cup Final. How the Hurricanes got here, the line matchups to watch, and the Andersen-Hart goalie battle.

May 29, 2026

Game 5 preview: Finishers vs Survivors

Carolina has swept back-to-back series. They finish the job when the time comes. Montreal has faced elimination twice this playoff and survived twice. One of those streaks ends tonight in Raleigh.

May 28, 2026

Game 4: Carolina Routs Montreal at Home, Up 3-1

Carolina 4, Montreal 0. The Hurricanes outshoot Montreal 43-18, score three times in three minutes of the first period, and add a late Svechnikov goal in the 3rd. Stankoven ends his career-long drought against Montreal. Series is 3-1, one win from the Stanley Cup Final.

May 27, 2026

Game 4 preview: The Rust Wore Off

Game 1 was rust. The eight periods since have been Carolina outshooting Montreal 93-47 and suffocating everything the Canadiens want to do. The only thing keeping this series close is a 21% Montreal shooting clip and Jakub Dobes refusing to break. Game 4 from the Bell Centre, series on the line for Montreal.

May 26, 2026

Game 3: One Bad Pass, Carolina Up 2-1

Carolina 3, Montreal 2 (OT). Svechnikov picks off a Hutson cross-ice pass in overtime and Carolina takes a 2-1 series lead. Montreal blocked 33 shots but mustered only 13 in 76 minutes of hockey. Andersen has not been himself this series, posting .762, .833, and .846 across three games, but Carolina's structure made it not matter.

May 25, 2026

Game 3: Series Up for Grabs, Who Wants It?

One game each and nobody knows anything. Game 1 felt like a statement from Montreal. Game 2 was Carolina locking it down with Ehlers in OT. Series shifts to the Bell Centre, where Montreal is 2-4 at home this postseason. Three keys before puck drop at 8 PM.

May 23, 2026

Game 2: Hurricanes Strike Back, Series Tied

Carolina answers with a defensive masterclass and a Nikolaj Ehlers overtime winner. The Hurricanes hold Montreal to 12 shots through 60, the Habs storm back to force OT, and Ehlers strikes twice to even the Eastern Conference Final.

May 21, 2026

Game 1: Montreal Weathers the Storm, Habs take Raleigh

Carolina came into Game 1 on a 12-day break and an 8-0 playoff record. Montreal came in off a Game 7 classic with three days to breathe. By the end of the first period it was 4-1 Habs in Raleigh, the Hurricanes streak was on its deathbed, and Andersen was getting lit up like a Christmas tree. Montreal goes up 1-0 in the Eastern Conference Final.

May 21, 2026

Game 1 preview: Cinderella Meets the Storm, Montreal at Carolina

Four teams left. Montreal arrives off a Game 7 classic against Buffalo. Carolina has been resting for 12 days after sweeping Philadelphia and now leads the playoffs in shots-for at 33.9 per game. To advance, Montreal will need to keep doing what got them here: win the dot, get bodies in front, and ride a power play that has been running at 23%.

May 18, 2026

Legend Reborn, Ghost of the Forum: Game 7

Montreal advances on Alex Newhook's overtime winner and a Jakub Dobes performance Habs fans haven't seen since 1970-71. Buffalo's season ends with the gas tank empty, the Canadiens move on to face a rested Carolina Hurricanes team that hasn't lost a game these playoffs.

May 18, 2026

Game 7 preview: Win or Go Home, Montreal at Buffalo

A complete series breakdown, who's in net (and on a short leash), why playing in Buffalo actually favors Montreal, and a 4-2 prediction with the storyline Sabres fans dream about.

May 16, 2026

Game 6 breakdown: Shell Shocked to Dominant, Buffalo Flips the Script

Buffalo blew the doors off in Periods 2 and 3, Dahlin and Thompson both finished with four-point nights, Jack Quinn buried two, and a cold-off-the-bench UPL stopped all 17 shots he faced. Series tied 3-3, Game 7 in Buffalo.

May 16, 2026

Game 6 preview: The Bell Tolls Loudest at Home, Buffalo at Montreal

Montreal can punch their ticket to the Conference Finals tonight, Buffalo faces elimination for the first time this postseason. Lyon likely takes over for Luukkonen, Caufield and Demidov are heating up, and the Sabres need Tuch and Thompson to be significantly better to force Game 7.

May 14, 2026

Game 5 breakdown: The Demigod delivers, Montreal takes a 3-2 series lead

Demidov ends a 12-game playoff drought with his first career playoff goal, Dobes shuts the door after a rough opening, and Montreal scores four unanswered to flip a 3-2 deficit into a 6-3 win. Game 6 goes Saturday in the Bell Centre with a Conference Final spot on the line.

May 14, 2026

Game 5 preview: Desperation vs. Determination, Montreal at Buffalo

Series tied 2-2 heading back to KeyBank Center. Buffalo found its desperation in Game 4 with 27 blocks and 3 goals on 22 shots, and Montreal's young stars are still hunting their moment. Game 5 has everything on the line.

May 12, 2026

Game 4: Zamboni door magic, Buffalo silences the Bell Centre

A Tage Thompson dump-in off the Zamboni door caroms straight back of the net. Buffalo steals Game 4 in Montreal 3-2, evens the series 2-2, and grabs home ice back. Luukkonen comes up huge, Benson buries the dagger, and we have a best-of-3.

May 12, 2026

Game 4 preview: Blood in the water, Buffalo at Montreal

After Montreal's 6-2 punch in Game 3, Buffalo turns to Luukkonen and adds Luke Schenn on defense. Montreal has nothing to change. If the Bell Centre repeats, the series goes to 3-1.

May 10, 2026

Game 3: Bell Centre buries Buffalo, Montreal takes a 2-1 series lead

Tage Thompson's slump-buster opens the scoring inside a minute, but Montreal answers with five unanswered. Newhook, Bolduc and Slafkovsky bury chances, Dobes stands tall, and the Bell Centre erupts. Habs win 6-2 and pull ahead in the series.

May 10, 2026

Game 3 preview: Buffalo at Montreal, Round 2

Series tied 1-1 heading to the Bell Centre. Montreal's stars are in hibernation, Buffalo's powerplay is dead last among teams still alive, and Carolina is sitting at home waiting.

May 8, 2026

Game 2 breakdown: Montreal vs Buffalo, Round 2

Montreal flips the script with a 5-1 road win to even the series. Newhook scores twice, Lyon stops everything Montreal throws at him, and the Habs steal home-ice back.

May 6, 2026

Game 1 breakdown: Montreal vs Buffalo, Round 2

Round 2 opens at KeyBank Center. Buffalo grabs the series lead 4-2 behind Alex Lyon's goaltending and a Zack Benson/Josh Doan show on the top line.

May 5, 2026

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April 30, 2026

Why I started High Danger

I played hockey until I was 17, watched it ever since, and work with data for a living. This is what happens when those three things meet: a place where the argument finally has receipts.

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