David Pastrnak vs Auston Matthews: Stats, xG & 2026-27 Projection
How do David Pastrnak and Auston Matthews compare? Last season Pastrnak put up 100 points to Matthews's 53, with 5v5 expected-goals shares of 48.2% and 48.5%. See the full stat-by-stat breakdown below, or open the interactive Compare tool for in-depth stats, goal maps, and career trajectories.
| 77 | Games played | 60 |
| 29 | Goals | 27 |
| 71 | Assists | 26 |
| 100 | Points | 53 |
| 1.30 | Points per game | 0.88 |
| 20.7 | Ice time / game (min) | 20.8 |
| 2.72 | 5v5 points / 60 | 1.96 |
| 48.2% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.5% |
| 28.4 | Individual xG | 29.9 |
| +0.6 | Finishing (G - xG) | -2.9 |
| 106 | 2026-27 projected points | 83 |
How they compare
Pastrnak was the more productive scorer in 2025-26, outpointing Matthews by 47 (100 to 53). Pastrnak posted a 29-71-100 line at 1.30 points per game, while Matthews went 27-26-53 at 0.88. At 5-on-5 they diverge on impact: Matthews tilted the ice with a 48.5% expected-goals share to 48.2% for Pastrnak. Pastrnak was the sharper finisher, scoring +0.6 goals relative to expected next to -2.9 for Matthews. For 2026-27, HighDanger's model projects Pastrnak at 106 points, ahead of Matthews at 83. On balance, Pastrnak grades as the stronger pick heading into 2026-27, though the table above and the interactive tool let you weigh the categories that matter most to you.
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Stats from the 2025-26 NHL season plus HighDanger metrics and 2026-27 projections. The better value in each row is highlighted. Full interactive charts and trends are in the Compare tool.