Connor McDavid vs Auston Matthews: Stats, xG & 2026-27 Projection
How do Connor McDavid and Auston Matthews compare? Last season McDavid put up 138 points to Matthews's 53, with 5v5 expected-goals shares of 56.5% and 48.3%. See the full stat-by-stat breakdown below, or open the interactive Compare tool for in-depth stats, goal maps, and career trajectories.
| 82 | Games played | 60 |
| 48 | Goals | 27 |
| 90 | Assists | 26 |
| 138 | Points | 53 |
| 1.68 | Points per game | 0.88 |
| 23.0 | Ice time / game (min) | 20.8 |
| 2.46 | 5v5 points / 60 | 1.96 |
| 56.5% | xGF% (5v5) | 48.3% |
| 46.6 | Individual xG | 30.9 |
| +1.4 | Finishing (G - xG) | -3.9 |
| 133 | 2026-27 projected points | 81 |
How they compare
McDavid was the more productive scorer in 2025-26, outpointing Matthews by 85 (138 to 53). McDavid posted a 48-90-138 line at 1.68 points per game, while Matthews went 27-26-53 at 0.88. At 5-on-5 they diverge on impact: McDavid tilted the ice with a 56.5% expected-goals share to 48.3% for Matthews. McDavid was the sharper finisher, scoring +1.4 goals relative to expected next to -3.9 for Matthews. For 2026-27, HighDanger's model projects McDavid at 133 points, ahead of Matthews at 81. On balance, McDavid grades as the stronger pick heading into 2026-27, though the table above and the interactive tool let you weigh the categories that matter most to you.
Stats from the 2025-26 NHL season plus HighDanger metrics and 2026-27 projections. The better value in each row is highlighted. Full interactive charts and trends are in the Compare tool.